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Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

2026-07-11

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds on 2026-07-11. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 4.87, Cincinnati Reds 3.74. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 38%, Chicago Cubs 62%. Projected total runs: 8.61.

Chicago Cubs
4.9
Predicted runs
62% to win
Cincinnati Reds
3.7
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs

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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.