Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-07-12 · 01:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-07-12. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 4.77, Cincinnati Reds 4.69. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 49%, Chicago Cubs 51%. Projected total runs: 9.46.
Chicago Cubs
4.8
Predicted runs
51% to win
Cincinnati Reds
4.7
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 9.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.