Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals
2026-08-09 · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-08-09. Predicted final score: Chicago Cubs 5.16, Kansas City Royals 4.87. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 48%, Chicago Cubs 52%. Projected total runs: 10.03.
Chicago Cubs
5.2
Predicted runs
52% to win
Kansas City Royals
4.9
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 10.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.