Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced Sports Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 8:51 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves

2026-08-14 · Truist Park

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-08-14. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4.17, Atlanta Braves 4.21. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 52%, Arizona Diamondbacks 48%. Projected total runs: 8.38.

Arizona Diamondbacks
4.2
Predicted runs
48% to win
Atlanta Braves
4.2
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.