Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Milwaukee Brewers
2026-04-28 · American Family Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on 2026-04-28. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 6.13, Milwaukee Brewers 3.58. Model win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 27%, Arizona Diamondbacks 73%. Projected total runs: 9.71.
Arizona Diamondbacks
6.1
Predicted runs
73% to win
Milwaukee Brewers
3.6
Predicted runs
27% to win
Projected total: 9.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.