Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Milwaukee Brewers
2026-04-30 · American Family Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on 2026-04-30. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4.85, Milwaukee Brewers 3.29. Model win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 35%, Arizona Diamondbacks 65%. Projected total runs: 8.14.
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.8
Predicted runs
65% to win
Milwaukee Brewers
3.3
Predicted runs
35% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.