Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-06-22 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-06-22. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 3.78, St. Louis Cardinals 5.23. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 65%, Arizona Diamondbacks 35%. Projected total runs: 9.01.
Arizona Diamondbacks
3.8
Predicted runs
35% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
5.2
Predicted runs
65% to win
Projected total: 9.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.