Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-06-24 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-06-24. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 3.75, St. Louis Cardinals 4.05. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 54%, Arizona Diamondbacks 46%. Projected total runs: 7.79.
Arizona Diamondbacks
3.8
Predicted runs
46% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
4.0
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.