Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-07-23 · 05:15 PM ET · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-07-23. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4.2, St. Louis Cardinals 3.81. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 47%, Arizona Diamondbacks 53%. Projected total runs: 8.
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.2
Predicted runs
53% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
3.8
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.