Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs
2026-05-01 · 02:20 PM ET · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-05-01. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 3.63, Chicago Cubs 4.25. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 57%, Arizona Diamondbacks 43%. Projected total runs: 7.88.
Arizona Diamondbacks
3.6
Predicted runs
43% to win
Chicago Cubs
4.3
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 7.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.