Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs
2026-05-02 · 02:20 PM ET · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-05-02. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 3.6, Chicago Cubs 4.5. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 61%, Arizona Diamondbacks 39%. Projected total runs: 8.1.
Arizona Diamondbacks
3.6
Predicted runs
39% to win
Chicago Cubs
4.5
Predicted runs
61% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.