Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs
2026-05-03 · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-05-03. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4.3, Chicago Cubs 5.9. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 64%, Arizona Diamondbacks 36%. Projected total runs: 10.2.
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.3
Predicted runs
36% to win
Chicago Cubs
5.9
Predicted runs
64% to win
Projected total: 10.2 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.