Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

MLB / Games

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cleveland Guardians

2026-08-01

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Guardians on 2026-08-01. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4.25, Cleveland Guardians 3.14. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 38%, Arizona Diamondbacks 62%. Projected total runs: 7.39.

Arizona Diamondbacks
4.3
Predicted runs
62% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.1
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 7.4 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.