Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-08-01 · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-08-01. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4.6, Cleveland Guardians 3.96. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 45%, Arizona Diamondbacks 55%. Projected total runs: 8.55.
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.6
Predicted runs
55% to win
Cleveland Guardians
4.0
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.