Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins
2026-06-10 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-06-10. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4.19, Miami Marlins 4. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 48%, Arizona Diamondbacks 52%. Projected total runs: 8.2.
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.2
Predicted runs
52% to win
Miami Marlins
4.0
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 8.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.