Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins
2026-06-11 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-06-11. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 3.85, Miami Marlins 3.97. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 52%, Arizona Diamondbacks 48%. Projected total runs: 7.83.
Arizona Diamondbacks
3.9
Predicted runs
48% to win
Miami Marlins
4.0
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
