Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-07-24. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 5.6, Washington Nationals 4.91. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 45%, Arizona Diamondbacks 55%. Projected total runs: 10.51. Final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 3, Washington Nationals 2.

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