Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres
2026-07-07 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-07-07. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 3.72, San Diego Padres 3.71. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 51%, Arizona Diamondbacks 49%. Projected total runs: 7.43.
Arizona Diamondbacks
3.7
Predicted runs
49% to win
San Diego Padres
3.7
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 7.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.