Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres
2026-07-08 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-07-08. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 3.39, San Diego Padres 3.17. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 48%, Arizona Diamondbacks 52%. Projected total runs: 6.55.
Arizona Diamondbacks
3.4
Predicted runs
52% to win
San Diego Padres
3.2
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 6.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.