Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers
2026-05-11 · Globe Life Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field on 2026-05-11. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 5.21, Texas Rangers 3.5. Model win probability: Texas Rangers 34%, Arizona Diamondbacks 66%. Projected total runs: 8.71.
Arizona Diamondbacks
5.2
Predicted runs
66% to win
Texas Rangers
3.5
Predicted runs
34% to win
Projected total: 8.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.