Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers
2026-05-12 · Globe Life Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field on 2026-05-12. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4.55, Texas Rangers 4.1. Model win probability: Texas Rangers 46%, Arizona Diamondbacks 54%. Projected total runs: 8.65.
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.5
Predicted runs
54% to win
Texas Rangers
4.1
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 8.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.