Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays
2026-06-28 · Tropicana Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on 2026-06-28. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 2.81, Tampa Bay Rays 3.73. Model win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 61%, Arizona Diamondbacks 39%. Projected total runs: 6.54.
Arizona Diamondbacks
2.8
Predicted runs
39% to win
Tampa Bay Rays
3.7
Predicted runs
61% to win
Projected total: 6.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.