Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced Sports Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 11:58 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays

2026-06-28

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Tampa Bay Rays on 2026-06-28. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 2.81, Tampa Bay Rays 3.73. Model win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 61%, Arizona Diamondbacks 39%. Projected total runs: 6.54.

Arizona Diamondbacks
2.8
Predicted runs
39% to win
Tampa Bay Rays
3.7
Predicted runs
61% to win
Projected total: 6.5 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.