Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox
2026-08-17 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-08-17. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 5.14, Boston Red Sox 5. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 49%, Arizona Diamondbacks 51%. Projected total runs: 10.13.
Arizona Diamondbacks
5.1
Predicted runs
51% to win
Boston Red Sox
5.0
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 10.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.