Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox
2026-08-18 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-08-18. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 3.93, Boston Red Sox 4.33. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 54%, Arizona Diamondbacks 46%. Projected total runs: 8.26.
Arizona Diamondbacks
3.9
Predicted runs
46% to win
Boston Red Sox
4.3
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 8.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.