Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox
2026-08-19 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-08-19. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4.41, Boston Red Sox 5.07. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 57%, Arizona Diamondbacks 43%. Projected total runs: 9.48.
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.4
Predicted runs
43% to win
Boston Red Sox
5.1
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 9.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.