Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-06-12 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-06-12. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4.92, Cincinnati Reds 4.83. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 50%, Arizona Diamondbacks 50%. Projected total runs: 9.75.
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.9
Predicted runs
50% to win
Cincinnati Reds
4.8
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 9.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
