Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-06-13 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-06-13. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 5.48, Cincinnati Reds 4.74. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 45%, Arizona Diamondbacks 55%. Projected total runs: 10.21.
Arizona Diamondbacks
5.5
Predicted runs
55% to win
Cincinnati Reds
4.7
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 10.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.