Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-06-14 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-06-14. Predicted final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 5.45, Cincinnati Reds 5.12. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 49%, Arizona Diamondbacks 51%. Projected total runs: 10.56.
Arizona Diamondbacks
5.5
Predicted runs
51% to win
Cincinnati Reds
5.1
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 10.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.