Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros
2026-05-04 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Dodgers at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-05-04. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 7.14, Houston Astros 4.57. Model win probability: Houston Astros 30%, Los Angeles Dodgers 70%. Projected total runs: 11.71.
Los Angeles Dodgers
7.1
Predicted runs
70% to win
Houston Astros
4.6
Predicted runs
30% to win
Projected total: 11.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.