Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros
2026-05-05 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Dodgers at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-05-05. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 6.57, Houston Astros 4.71. Model win probability: Houston Astros 36%, Los Angeles Dodgers 64%. Projected total runs: 11.28.
Los Angeles Dodgers
6.6
Predicted runs
64% to win
Houston Astros
4.7
Predicted runs
36% to win
Projected total: 11.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.