Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-05-02 · 07:15 PM ET · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-05-02. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 5.8, St. Louis Cardinals 7.46. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 63%, Los Angeles Dodgers 37%. Projected total runs: 13.25.
Los Angeles Dodgers
5.8
Predicted runs
37% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
7.5
Predicted runs
63% to win
Projected total: 13.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.