Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-05-03 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-05-03. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 6.74, St. Louis Cardinals 6.27. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 47%, Los Angeles Dodgers 53%. Projected total runs: 13.01.
Los Angeles Dodgers
6.7
Predicted runs
53% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
6.3
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 13.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.