Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs
2026-08-04 · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-08-04. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 5.05, Chicago Cubs 3.82. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 38%, Los Angeles Dodgers 62%. Projected total runs: 8.87.
Los Angeles Dodgers
5.0
Predicted runs
62% to win
Chicago Cubs
3.8
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.