Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 11:33 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets

2026-07-25 · Citi Field

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-07-25. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 5.07, New York Mets 3.35. Model win probability: New York Mets 34%, Los Angeles Dodgers 66%. Projected total runs: 8.43.

Los Angeles Dodgers
5.1
Predicted runs
66% to win
New York Mets
3.4
Predicted runs
34% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.