Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres
2026-05-18 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-05-18. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 3.97, San Diego Padres 4.02. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 52%, Los Angeles Dodgers 48%. Projected total runs: 7.99.
Los Angeles Dodgers
4.0
Predicted runs
48% to win
San Diego Padres
4.0
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.