Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres
2026-05-20 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-05-20. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 3.57, San Diego Padres 3.16. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 46%, Los Angeles Dodgers 54%. Projected total runs: 6.74.
Los Angeles Dodgers
3.6
Predicted runs
54% to win
San Diego Padres
3.2
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 6.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.