Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres
2026-06-28 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-06-28. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 4.71, San Diego Padres 3.8. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 41%, Los Angeles Dodgers 59%. Projected total runs: 8.5.
Los Angeles Dodgers
4.7
Predicted runs
59% to win
San Diego Padres
3.8
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.