Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-07-20 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-07-20. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 4.13, Philadelphia Phillies 3.76. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 46%, Los Angeles Dodgers 54%. Projected total runs: 7.9.
Los Angeles Dodgers
4.1
Predicted runs
54% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
3.8
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 7.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.