Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-07-21 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-07-21. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 3.76, Philadelphia Phillies 3.89. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 52%, Los Angeles Dodgers 48%. Projected total runs: 7.65.
Los Angeles Dodgers
3.8
Predicted runs
48% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
3.9
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 7.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
