Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-07-22 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-07-22. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 5.31, Philadelphia Phillies 4.42. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 43%, Los Angeles Dodgers 57%. Projected total runs: 9.73.
Los Angeles Dodgers
5.3
Predicted runs
57% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.4
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 9.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
