Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-06-11 · 06:40 PM ET · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-06-11. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Dodgers 6.13, Pittsburgh Pirates 3.93. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 31%, Los Angeles Dodgers 69%. Projected total runs: 10.06.
Los Angeles Dodgers
6.1
Predicted runs
69% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
3.9
Predicted runs
31% to win
Projected total: 10.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.