Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-05-18 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-05-18. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 4.95, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.14. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 42%, San Francisco Giants 58%. Projected total runs: 9.09.
San Francisco Giants
5.0
Predicted runs
58% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.1
Predicted runs
42% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.