Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-05-19 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-05-19. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 3.5, Arizona Diamondbacks 3.38. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 49%, San Francisco Giants 51%. Projected total runs: 6.88.
San Francisco Giants
3.5
Predicted runs
51% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
3.4
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 6.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.