Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-05-20 · 03:40 PM ET · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-05-20. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 3.93, Arizona Diamondbacks 3.82. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 48%, San Francisco Giants 52%. Projected total runs: 7.75.
San Francisco Giants
3.9
Predicted runs
52% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
3.8
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.