Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-08-18 · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-08-18. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 4.12, Cleveland Guardians 4.64. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 56%, San Francisco Giants 44%. Projected total runs: 8.77.
San Francisco Giants
4.1
Predicted runs
44% to win
Cleveland Guardians
4.6
Predicted runs
56% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.