Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-08-20 · 01:10 PM ET · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-08-20. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 3.2, Cleveland Guardians 3.27. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 52%, San Francisco Giants 48%. Projected total runs: 6.47.
San Francisco Giants
3.2
Predicted runs
48% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.3
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 6.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.