Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Miami Marlins
2026-06-21 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-06-21. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 5.82, Miami Marlins 5.12. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 44%, San Francisco Giants 56%. Projected total runs: 10.94.
San Francisco Giants
5.8
Predicted runs
56% to win
Miami Marlins
5.1
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 10.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.