Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres
2026-07-30 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-07-30. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 4.71, San Diego Padres 4.48. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 47%, San Francisco Giants 53%. Projected total runs: 9.2.
San Francisco Giants
4.7
Predicted runs
53% to win
San Diego Padres
4.5
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.