Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres
2026-08-01 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-08-01. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 4.8, San Diego Padres 5.11. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 54%, San Francisco Giants 46%. Projected total runs: 9.91.
San Francisco Giants
4.8
Predicted runs
46% to win
San Diego Padres
5.1
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 9.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.