Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres
2026-08-02 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-08-02. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 3.75, San Diego Padres 3.86. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 52%, San Francisco Giants 48%. Projected total runs: 7.61.
San Francisco Giants
3.8
Predicted runs
48% to win
San Diego Padres
3.9
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 7.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.