Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-04-28 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-04-28. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 6.41, Philadelphia Phillies 4.34. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 34%, San Francisco Giants 66%. Projected total runs: 10.74.
San Francisco Giants
6.4
Predicted runs
66% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.3
Predicted runs
34% to win
Projected total: 10.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.